Confidence
Direct sources
Venus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A33.33%3.0 expected runs · 6 runs for 90% · ≈ 42 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B33.33%3.0 expected runs · 6 runs for 90% · ≈ 42 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C33.33%3.0 expected runs · 6 runs for 90% · ≈ 42 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A33.33%3.0 expected runs · 6 runs for 90% · ≈ 42 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. B33.33%3.0 expected runs · 6 runs for 90% · ≈ 42 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. C33.33%3.0 expected runs · 6 runs for 90% · ≈ 42 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A20.00%5.0 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B20.00%5.0 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C20.00%5.0 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A20.00%5.0 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. B20.00%5.0 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. C20.00%5.0 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A16.67%6.0 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B16.67%6.0 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C16.67%6.0 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A16.67%6.0 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. B16.67%6.0 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. C16.67%6.0 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hVoid / Marduk (Caches)CachesRot. C25.29%4.0 expected runs · 8 runs for 90%Void / Stribog (Caches)CachesRot. C18.88%5.3 expected runs · 12 runs for 90%Eris / Candiru (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Candiru (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Lepis (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Lepis (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Psoro (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Psoro (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Viver (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Viver (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Naeglar (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Naeglar (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Deimos / Formido (Caches)CachesRot. B15.18%6.6 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Mercury / Terminus (Caches)CachesRot. C15.10%6.6 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Mercury / Neruda (Caches)CachesRot. C15.10%6.6 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Venus / Ishtar (Caches)CachesRot. C15.10%6.6 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Earth / Cervantes (Caches)CachesRot. C15.10%6.6 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Mars / Gradivus (Caches)CachesRot. C15.10%6.6 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Jupiter / Adrastea (Caches)CachesRot. C15.10%6.6 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Jupiter / Carpo (Caches)CachesRot. C15.10%6.6 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Saturn / Pallene (Caches)CachesRot. C15.10%6.6 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Saturn / Calypso (Caches)CachesRot. C15.10%6.6 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Ceres / Thon (Caches)CachesRot. C15.10%6.6 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Ceres / Ker (Caches)CachesRot. C15.10%6.6 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Uranus / Portia (Caches)CachesRot. C12.58%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Neptune / Thalassa (Caches)CachesRot. C12.58%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Neptune / Halimede (Caches)CachesRot. C12.58%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Pluto / Charon (Caches)CachesRot. C12.58%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Pluto / Cypress (Caches)CachesRot. C12.58%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Sedna / Rusalka (Caches)CachesRot. C12.58%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Sedna / Phithale (Caches)CachesRot. C12.58%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Earth / Cervantes (Caches)CachesRot. B12.18%8.2 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Lua / Plato (Caches)CachesRot. C10.82%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90%Lua / Plato (Caches)CachesRot. C10.82%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90%Kuva Fortress / Dakata (Caches)CachesRot. C10.79%9.3 expected runs · 21 runs for 90%Mercury / Terminus (Caches)CachesRot. C5.50%18.2 expected runs · 41 runs for 90%Mercury / Neruda (Caches)CachesRot. C5.50%18.2 expected runs · 41 runs for 90%Venus / Ishtar (Caches)CachesRot. C5.50%18.2 expected runs · 41 runs for 90%Mars / Gradivus (Caches)CachesRot. C5.50%18.2 expected runs · 41 runs for 90%Deimos / Formido (Caches)CachesRot. B4.42%22.6 expected runs · 51 runs for 90%Jupiter / Adrastea (Caches)CachesRot. C4.40%22.7 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Jupiter / Carpo (Caches)CachesRot. C4.40%22.7 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Saturn / Pallene (Caches)CachesRot. C4.40%22.7 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Saturn / Calypso (Caches)CachesRot. C4.40%22.7 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Ceres / Thon (Caches)CachesRot. C4.40%22.7 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Ceres / Ker (Caches)CachesRot. C4.40%22.7 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Uranus / Portia (Caches)CachesRot. C3.67%27.2 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Neptune / Thalassa (Caches)CachesRot. C3.67%27.2 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Neptune / Halimede (Caches)CachesRot. C3.67%27.2 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Pluto / Charon (Caches)CachesRot. C3.67%27.2 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Pluto / Cypress (Caches)CachesRot. C3.67%27.2 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Sedna / Rusalka (Caches)CachesRot. C3.67%27.2 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Sedna / Phithale (Caches)CachesRot. C3.67%27.2 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Void / Stribog (Caches)CachesRot. C3.67%27.2 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Saturn / Cephalon CaptureConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / Cephalon Capture (Extra)ConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / Team AnnihilationConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / Team Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / AnnihilationConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / Lunaro ArenaConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / Lunaro Arena (Extra)ConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Cephalon CaptureConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Cephalon Capture (Extra)ConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Team Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant AnnihilationConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%Neptune / Cephalon CaptureConclaveRot. B0.25%400.0 expected runs · 920 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.