Confidence
Direct sources
Deimos / Entrati Lab · Nivel 95-100BountyRot. C15.35%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hDeimos / Entrati Lab · Nivel 115-120BountyRot. C14.71%6.8 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hZariman / Zariman · Nivel 90-95BountyRot. C11.36%8.8 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 hZariman / Zariman · Nivel 110-115BountyRot. C11.36%8.8 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.