Relic opening
Refinement
Confidence

Via relics

Neo T1159.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Best relic source: Europa / Lillith (Excavation · Rot. C · 11.1%) 16 runs + 2 expected opens · ≈ 32 min expected total time
Meso D859.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Best relic source: Mars / Olympus (Disruption · Rot. C · 14.3%) 12 runs + 2 expected opens · ≈ 34 min expected total time
Meso P17Vaulted59.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo A14Vaulted59.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.

We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.

Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.