Confidence
Direct sources
Deimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A12.00%8.3 expected runs · 19 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. B12.00%8.3 expected runs · 19 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. C12.00%8.3 expected runs · 19 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A8.82%11.3 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. B8.82%11.3 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. C8.82%11.3 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A6.82%14.7 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. B6.82%14.7 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. C6.82%14.7 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.9 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.
Each run has a 12% chance. The curve is 1−(1−p)ⁿ: there is never a guarantee, only growing confidence.