Confidence
Direct sources
Deimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A14.00%7.1 expected runs · 16 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A10.29%9.7 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A7.95%12.6 expected runs · 28 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.3 hDuviri / Endless: Tier 1Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 3Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.