Confidence
Direct sources
Veil Proxima / Arc SilverSkirmishRot. A21.43%4.7 expected runs · 10 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Lu-YanSkirmishRot. A21.43%4.7 expected runs · 10 runs for 90%Pluto / Obol CrossingSkirmishRot. C14.63%6.8 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / EratoSkirmishRot. A14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Pluto / Khufu EnvoySkirmishRot. B13.64%7.3 expected runs · 16 runs for 90%Pluto / Fenton's FieldSkirmishRot. C12.50%8.0 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Pluto / Peregrine AxisSkirmishRot. C8.00%12.5 expected runs · 28 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Sabmir CloudSkirmishRot. C8.00%12.5 expected runs · 28 runs for 90%Pluto / Seven SirensSkirmish7.23%13.8 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Pluto / Profit MarginSkirmish7.23%13.8 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / CalabashSkirmish7.23%13.8 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / NuminaSkirmish7.23%13.8 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / FlexaSkirmish6.00%16.7 expected runs · 38 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / H-2 CloudSkirmish6.00%16.7 expected runs · 38 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / R-9 CloudSkirmish6.00%16.7 expected runs · 38 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Nsu GridSkirmish6.00%16.7 expected runs · 38 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.