Confidence
Direct sources
Jupiter / GanymedeDisruptionRot. C5.00%20.0 expected runs · 45 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hSedna / KappaDisruptionRot. C5.10%19.6 expected runs · 44 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hUranus / UrDisruptionRot. C5.08%19.7 expected runs · 45 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hLua / ApolloDisruptionRot. C5.03%19.9 expected runs · 45 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hKuva Fortress / TamuDisruptionRot. C5.00%20.0 expected runs · 45 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hNeptune / LaomedeiaDisruptionRot. C5.00%20.0 expected runs · 45 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.