Confidence
Direct sources
Mercury / ElionCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minVenus / VeneraCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEarth / MantleCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minMars / AraCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minMars / QuirinusCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minJupiter / AnankeCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minSaturn / PhoebeCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minSaturn / CassiniCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minUranus / ArielCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minUranus / TrinculoCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minNeptune / GalateaCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPluto / HydraCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPluto / CorbCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minCeres / LexCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEris / CosisCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEris / IsosCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / AbaddonCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / BelethCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPhobos / LimtocCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPhobos / SkyreshCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPhobos / ToddCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minLua / CopernicusCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minSedna / BerehyniaInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 73 minPluto / CerberusInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEris / XiniInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minMercury / OdinInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 81 minVenus / CythereanInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 81 minEarth / GaiaInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 81 minMars / AlatorInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 81 minCeres / CinxiaInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 81 minEris / SporidInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 81 minEris / PhalanInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 81 minJupiter / CallistoInterceptionRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hSaturn / RheaInterceptionRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hUranus / UmbrielInterceptionRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEuropa / OseInterceptionRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hUranus / MirandaDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hUranus / BiancaDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hUranus / StephanoDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hNeptune / ProteusDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPluto / Outer TerminusDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / Kala-AzarDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / IxodesDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hLua / StöFlerDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hKuva Fortress / NabukDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSedna / HydronDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hMercury / LaresDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hVenus / TesseraDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEarth / LithDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hMars / SpearDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hCeres / VarroDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hCeres / CastaDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hCeres / EgeriaDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hPhobos / DrunloDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hPhobos / GulliverDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hPhobos / OpikRushRot. A15.18%6.6 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / OestrusInfested SalvageRot. A7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.