Confidence
Direct sources
Deimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. B13.21%7.6 expected runs · 17 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. B9.59%10.4 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. B7.53%13.3 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.5 hDuviri / Endless: Tier 1Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 3Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.