Relic opening
Refinement
Confidence
Via relics
Lith S1834.39% · 2.9 expected opens · 6 runs for 90%
Best relic source: Venus / Kiliken (Excavation · Rot. C · 11.1%) → 27 runs + 3 expected opens · ≈ 55 min expected total time
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.
Roadmap: get this part now
Every relic that contains it, how refining improves the chance, and which fissures are active right now to crack it.
Chance by refinement
Intact2%
Exceptional4%
Flawless6%
Radiant10%
Refining the relic with Void Traces raises the chance of rare drops (and lowers common ones).
Active fissures now
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Live fissures from the Warframe WorldState. Chances from DE’s official drop tables.