Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B30.56%3.3 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 49 minNeptune / DespinaExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minKuva Fortress / PagoSpyRot. A13.33%7.5 expected runs · 17 runs for 90% · ≈ 68 minUranus / RosalindSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hNeptune / NereidSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPluto / OceanumSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / CyathSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / GnathosSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSedna / TikolosheSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSedna / KelpieSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hUranus / OpheliaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / CupidSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / AssurSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B7.52%13.3 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.6 hEris / OestrusInfested SalvageRot. C14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.