Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A30.56%3.3 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 49 minLua / PavlovSpyRot. B7.49%13.4 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hUranus / MirandaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / BiancaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / StephanoDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hNeptune / ProteusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hPluto / Outer TerminusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / Kala-AzarDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / IxodesDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hLua / StöFlerDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hKuva Fortress / NabukDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSedna / HydronDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A7.52%13.3 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.6 hCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 6.9 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.8 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.6 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hEris / OestrusInfested SalvageRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 4Normal1.49%67.1 expected runs · 154 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 6Normal1.03%97.1 expected runs · 223 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.