Confidence
Direct sources
Venus / KilikenExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minEarth / EverestExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minEarth / TikalExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minMars / AugustusExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minPhobos / WendellExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minNeptune / DespinaExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minPluto / HieraconExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEuropa / LillithExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEuropa / ValeforExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEuropa / CholistanExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A15.97%6.3 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A15.32%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hMercury / ApollodorusSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hVenus / V PrimeSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hVenus / MalvaSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hMars / ArcadiaSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hCeres / GabiiSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hPhobos / StickneySurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hPhobos / FlimnapSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hMars / WahibaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hJupiter / ElaraSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hJupiter / CameriaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSaturn / TitanSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSaturn / PiscinasSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / OpheliaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / CupidSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / AssurSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hNeptune / KelashinSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hPluto / PalusSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hCeres / DracoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEris / HymenoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEris / NimusSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / SelkieSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / ScyllaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / YemajaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / AmarnaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEuropa / ZaganSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hPhobos / ZeugmaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hLua / TychoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hKuva Fortress / TaveuniSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hDuviri / The CircuitThe CircuitRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.