Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hMercury / OdinInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hVenus / CythereanInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEarth / GaiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hMars / AlatorInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hCeres / CinxiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B10.08%9.9 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hPhobos / OpikRushRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 1Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 3Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.