Confidence
Direct sources
Lua / PavlovSpyRot. A12.18%8.2 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 72 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. B13.16%7.6 expected runs · 17 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. B7.35%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.6 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. B5.68%17.6 expected runs · 40 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.7 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.