Confidence
Direct sources
Lua / PavlovSpyRot. B7.49%13.4 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hMercury / LaresDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hVenus / TesseraDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hEarth / LithDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hMars / SpearDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / VarroDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / CastaDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / EgeriaDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / DrunloDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / GulliverDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hUranus / MirandaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / BiancaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / StephanoDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hNeptune / ProteusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hPluto / Outer TerminusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / Kala-AzarDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / IxodesDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hLua / StöFlerDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hKuva Fortress / NabukDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSedna / HydronDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hMercury / ElionCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hVenus / VeneraCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEarth / MantleCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hMars / AraCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hMars / QuirinusCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hJupiter / AnankeCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hSaturn / PhoebeCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hSaturn / CassiniCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hUranus / ArielCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hUranus / TrinculoCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hNeptune / GalateaCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPluto / HydraCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPluto / CorbCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hCeres / LexCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEris / CosisCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEris / IsosCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / AbaddonCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / BelethCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPhobos / LimtocCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPhobos / SkyreshCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPhobos / ToddCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hLua / CopernicusCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPhobos / OpikRushRot. C7.59%13.2 expected runs · 30 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 1Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 3Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.