Confidence
Direct sources
Mercury / CaduceusExterminate5.64%17.7 expected runs · 40 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hMercury / CaduceusExterminate5.64%17.7 expected runs · 40 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hVenus / MontesExterminate5.64%17.7 expected runs · 40 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hVenus / MontesExterminate5.64%17.7 expected runs · 40 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hMars / SyrtisExterminate5.64%17.7 expected runs · 40 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hMars / SyrtisExterminate5.64%17.7 expected runs · 40 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.