Confidence
Direct sources
Venus / KilikenExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minEarth / EverestExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minEarth / TikalExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minMars / AugustusExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minPhobos / WendellExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minNeptune / DespinaExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minPluto / HieraconExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEuropa / LillithExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEuropa / ValeforExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEuropa / CholistanExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minMercury / SuiseiSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hVenus / VesperSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hVenus / UndaSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEarth / CambriaSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hMars / ArvalSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hCeres / HapkeSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPhobos / GrildrigSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPhobos / ShklovskySpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hJupiter / CallistoInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hSaturn / RheaInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hUranus / UmbrielInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hEuropa / OseInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hMercury / ApollodorusSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hVenus / V PrimeSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hVenus / MalvaSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hMars / ArcadiaSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hCeres / GabiiSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hPhobos / StickneySurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hPhobos / FlimnapSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hMercury / OdinInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hVenus / CythereanInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEarth / GaiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hMars / AlatorInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hCeres / CinxiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hMars / WahibaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hJupiter / ElaraSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hJupiter / CameriaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSaturn / TitanSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSaturn / PiscinasSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / OpheliaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / CupidSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / AssurSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hNeptune / KelashinSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hPluto / PalusSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hCeres / DracoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEris / HymenoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEris / NimusSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / SelkieSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / ScyllaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / YemajaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / AmarnaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEuropa / ZaganSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hPhobos / ZeugmaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hLua / TychoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hKuva Fortress / TaveuniSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.7 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.8 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 10.8 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hDuviri / The CircuitThe CircuitRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90%Phobos / OpikRushRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 1Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 3Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.