Confidence
Direct sources
Lua / PavlovSpyRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 80 minJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. C7.74%12.9 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. C7.74%12.9 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. C7.74%12.9 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. C7.74%12.9 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. C7.74%12.9 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.