Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A10.20%9.8 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B10.20%9.8 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C10.20%9.8 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A10.20%9.8 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. B10.20%9.8 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. C10.20%9.8 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A6.76%14.8 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B6.76%14.8 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C6.76%14.8 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A6.76%14.8 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. B6.76%14.8 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. C6.76%14.8 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.9 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.