Confidence
Direct sources
Deimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. A50.00%2.0 expected runs · 4 runs for 90% · ≈ 28 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. A50.00%2.0 expected runs · 4 runs for 90% · ≈ 28 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. A50.00%2.0 expected runs · 4 runs for 90% · ≈ 28 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. A31.25%3.2 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 49 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. A31.25%3.2 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 49 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. A31.25%3.2 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 49 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. A25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. A25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. A25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. A25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. A25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. A25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 min
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.