Confidence
Direct sources
Jupiter / CallistoInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hSaturn / RheaInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hUranus / UmbrielInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hEuropa / OseInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hLua / PavlovSpyRot. B7.49%13.4 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hJupiter / IoDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hMercury / LaresDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hVenus / TesseraDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hEarth / LithDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hMars / SpearDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / VarroDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / CastaDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / EgeriaDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / DrunloDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / GulliverDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hSaturn / HeleneDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 hMercury / OdinInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hVenus / CythereanInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEarth / GaiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hMars / AlatorInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hCeres / CinxiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hUranus / MirandaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / BiancaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / StephanoDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hNeptune / ProteusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hPluto / Outer TerminusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / Kala-AzarDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / IxodesDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hLua / StöFlerDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hKuva Fortress / NabukDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSedna / CamenaeDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEuropa / PaimonDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / HydronDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.7 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.8 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 10.8 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hPhobos / OpikRushRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 1Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 3Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.