Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B20.00%5.0 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B15.18%6.6 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hMercury / LaresDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hVenus / TesseraDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEarth / LithDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hMars / SpearDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hCeres / VarroDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hCeres / CastaDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hCeres / EgeriaDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hPhobos / DrunloDefenseRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.