Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. C25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minLua / PavlovSpyRot. A12.18%8.2 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 72 minCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. C15.97%6.3 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. C15.32%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hPhobos / OpikRushRot. B8.43%11.9 expected runs · 27 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.