Confidence
Direct sources
Venus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 20-40BountyRot. B25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C20.00%5.0 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C15.18%6.6 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C15.00%6.7 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 20-40BountyRot. B15.00%6.7 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C14.50%6.9 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 20-40BountyRot. B13.24%7.6 expected runs · 17 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hUranus / Desdemona (Caches)CachesRot. B15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Uranus / Prospero (Caches)CachesRot. B15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Uranus / Setebos (Caches)CachesRot. B15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Candiru (Caches)CachesRot. B15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Lepis (Caches)CachesRot. B15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Psoro (Caches)CachesRot. B15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Viver (Caches)CachesRot. B15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Eris / Naeglar (Caches)CachesRot. B15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Void / Marduk (Caches)CachesRot. B15.18%6.6 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Lua / Plato (Caches)CachesRot. A12.91%7.7 expected runs · 17 runs for 90%Jupiter / Adrastea (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Jupiter / Carpo (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Pallene (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Calypso (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Uranus / Portia (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Neptune / Thalassa (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Neptune / Halimede (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Pluto / Charon (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Pluto / Cypress (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Ceres / Thon (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Ceres / Ker (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Sedna / Rusalka (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Sedna / Phithale (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Void / Stribog (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Kuva Fortress / Dakata (Caches)CachesRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Cephalon CaptureConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Cephalon Capture (Extra)ConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Team AnnihilationConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Team Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / AnnihilationConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Lunaro ArenaConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Lunaro Arena (Extra)ConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Cephalon CaptureConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Cephalon Capture (Extra)ConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Team Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant AnnihilationConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Neptune / Cephalon CaptureConclaveRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Team AnnihilationConclaveRot. A3.16%31.6 expected runs · 72 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Team AnnihilationConclaveRot. B3.16%31.6 expected runs · 72 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.