Pathogen Rounds

Farming plan

Pathogen Rounds

Confidence

Direct sources

We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.

Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.

Dropped by
Eris/Candiru (Caches), Rotation B Rare 5.64 %
Eris/Lepis (Caches), Rotation B Rare 5.64 %
Eris/Naeglar (Caches), Rotation B Rare 5.64 %
Eris/Psoro (Caches), Rotation B Rare 5.64 %
Eris/Viver (Caches), Rotation B Rare 5.64 %
Kuva Larvling Uncommon 4.58 %
Saturn Six Fugitive Uncommon 4.58 %
Zealot Baptizer Uncommon 4.58 %
Zealot Herald Uncommon 4.58 %
Zealot Proselytizer Uncommon 4.58 %
Exploiter Orb Rare 4.51 %
Anti Moa Rare 0.23 %
Chance of getting it by number of runs
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 11 22 32 43 54 12 runs · 50% 12 runs · 50% 40 runs · 90% 40 runs · 90%

Each run has a 5.64% chance. The curve is 1−(1−p)ⁿ: there is never a guarantee, only growing confidence.