Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A20.00%5.0 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A15.97%6.3 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A15.32%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A15.18%6.6 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A15.00%6.7 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A15.00%6.7 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A14.50%6.9 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A13.24%7.6 expected runs · 17 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hUranus / Desdemona (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Uranus / Prospero (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Uranus / Setebos (Caches)CachesRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.