Confidence
Direct sources
Deimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. A3.00%33.3 expected runs · 76 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. B3.00%33.3 expected runs · 76 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. C3.00%33.3 expected runs · 76 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. A1.50%66.7 expected runs · 153 runs for 90% · ≈ 17.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. B1.50%66.7 expected runs · 153 runs for 90% · ≈ 17.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. C1.50%66.7 expected runs · 153 runs for 90% · ≈ 17.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. A1.50%66.7 expected runs · 153 runs for 90% · ≈ 17.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. B1.50%66.7 expected runs · 153 runs for 90% · ≈ 17.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. C1.50%66.7 expected runs · 153 runs for 90% · ≈ 17.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. A1.00%100.0 expected runs · 230 runs for 90% · ≈ 26.8 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. B1.00%100.0 expected runs · 230 runs for 90% · ≈ 26.8 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. C1.00%100.0 expected runs · 230 runs for 90% · ≈ 26.8 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. A1.00%100.0 expected runs · 230 runs for 90% · ≈ 26.8 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. B1.00%100.0 expected runs · 230 runs for 90% · ≈ 26.8 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. C1.00%100.0 expected runs · 230 runs for 90% · ≈ 26.8 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. A0.50%200.0 expected runs · 460 runs for 90% · ≈ 53.7 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.
Each run has a 3% chance. The curve is 1−(1−p)ⁿ: there is never a guarantee, only growing confidence.