Confidence
Direct sources
Mercury / ElionCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hVenus / VeneraCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEarth / MantleCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hMars / AraCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hMars / QuirinusCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hJupiter / AnankeCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hSaturn / PhoebeCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hSaturn / CassiniCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hUranus / ArielCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hUranus / TrinculoCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hNeptune / GalateaCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPluto / HydraCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPluto / CorbCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hCeres / LexCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEris / CosisCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEris / IsosCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / AbaddonCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / BelethCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPhobos / LimtocCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPhobos / SkyreshCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPhobos / ToddCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hLua / CopernicusCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.