Confidence
Direct sources
Jupiter / CallistoInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hSaturn / RheaInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hUranus / UmbrielInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hEuropa / OseInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hLua / PavlovSpyRot. B7.49%13.4 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hJupiter / IoDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hSaturn / HeleneDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 hMercury / OdinInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hVenus / CythereanInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEarth / GaiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hMars / AlatorInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hCeres / CinxiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hUranus / MirandaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / BiancaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / StephanoDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hNeptune / ProteusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hPluto / Outer TerminusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / Kala-AzarDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / IxodesDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hLua / StöFlerDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hKuva Fortress / NabukDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSedna / CamenaeDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEuropa / PaimonDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / HydronDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hMercury / ElionCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hVenus / VeneraCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEarth / MantleCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hMars / AraCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hMars / QuirinusCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hJupiter / AnankeCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hSaturn / PhoebeCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hSaturn / CassiniCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hUranus / ArielCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hUranus / TrinculoCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hNeptune / GalateaCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPluto / HydraCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPluto / CorbCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hCeres / LexCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEris / CosisCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEris / IsosCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / AbaddonCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hEuropa / BelethCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPhobos / LimtocCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPhobos / SkyreshCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hPhobos / ToddCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hLua / CopernicusCapture0.34%294.1 expected runs · 677 runs for 90% · ≈ 16.9 hDuviri / Endless: Tier 1Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 3Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.