Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C20.00%5.0 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C15.18%6.6 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hSaturn / Variant Team AnnihilationConclaveRot. A3.16%31.6 expected runs · 72 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Team AnnihilationConclaveRot. B3.16%31.6 expected runs · 72 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.