Confidence
Direct sources
Europa / LillithExcavationRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 37 minEuropa / ValeforExcavationRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 37 minUranus / UrDisruptionRot. B14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 40 minSedna / KappaDisruptionRot. B14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 40 minLua / ApolloDisruptionRot. A14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 41 minVoid / UkkoCapture6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 42 minUranus / UrDisruptionRot. C13.56%7.4 expected runs · 16 runs for 90% · ≈ 43 minJupiter / CallistoInterceptionRot. C14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 55 minSaturn / RheaInterceptionRot. C14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 55 minUranus / UmbrielInterceptionRot. C14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 55 minEuropa / OseInterceptionRot. C14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 55 minDeimos / ArmatusDisruptionRot. B10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minNeptune / DespinaExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minPluto / HieraconExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEuropa / CholistanExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minVoid / MithraInterceptionRot. B12.50%8.0 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 66 minJupiter / IoDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 67 minSedna / BerehyniaInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 73 minEris / ZabalaSurvivalRot. B14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 75 minSaturn / HeleneDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 75 minPluto / CerberusInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEris / XiniInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEris / SporidInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 81 minEris / PhalanInterceptionRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 81 minVoid / MotSurvivalRot. B12.50%8.0 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hDeimos / TerroremSurvivalRot. B12.50%8.0 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hVoid / OxomocoExterminate6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hSedna / CamenaeDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEuropa / PaimonDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hVoid / MithraInterceptionRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hMars / WahibaSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hJupiter / ElaraSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hJupiter / CameriaSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSaturn / TitanSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSaturn / PiscinasSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hCeres / DracoSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEuropa / ZaganSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPhobos / ZeugmaSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hUranus / MirandaDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hUranus / BiancaDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hUranus / StephanoDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hNeptune / ProteusDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPluto / Outer TerminusDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / Kala-AzarDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / IxodesDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hLua / StöFlerDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hKuva Fortress / NabukDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hHöllvania / Solstice SquareDefenseRot. B9.90%10.1 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVoid / BelenusDefenseRot. C9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hJupiter / GanymedeDisruptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hSedna / HydronDefenseRot. A10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hLua / YuvariumSurvivalRot. B10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVoid / BelenusDefenseRot. B9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hVoid / BelenusDefenseRot. B9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hJupiter / CallistoInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hSaturn / RheaInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hUranus / UmbrielInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hEuropa / OseInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hHöllvania / Hell-Scrub: ScaldraSurvivalRot. B9.35%10.7 expected runs · 24 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hHöllvania / Hell-Scrub: TechrotSurvivalRot. B9.35%10.7 expected runs · 24 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hJupiter / IoDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hVoid / MotSurvivalRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hSanctuary / Sanctuary OnslaughtSanctuary OnslaughtRot. C9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hSaturn / HeleneDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 hDeimos / MunioDefenseRot. B7.50%13.3 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 hDeimos / PerstoSurvivalRot. B7.50%13.3 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hVoid / BelenusDefenseRot. A6.49%15.4 expected runs · 35 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hMars / Tyana PassDefenseRot. A6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / CamenaeDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEuropa / PaimonDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / OpheliaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / CupidSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / AssurSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hNeptune / KelashinSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hPluto / PalusSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEris / HymenoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEris / NimusSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / SelkieSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / ScyllaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / YemajaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / AmarnaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hLua / TychoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hKuva Fortress / TaveuniSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hMars / Tyana PassDefenseRot. B5.80%17.2 expected runs · 39 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.0 hSanctuary / Elite Sanctuary OnslaughtSanctuary OnslaughtRot. C6.32%15.8 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.0 hVoid / AniSurvivalRot. C6.09%16.4 expected runs · 37 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.1 hZariman / Tuvul CommonsVoid CascadeRot. B3.33%30.0 expected runs · 68 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.6 hLua / CirculusSurvivalRot. B4.76%21.0 expected runs · 48 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.0 hZariman / Everview ArcVoid FloodRot. B3.33%30.0 expected runs · 68 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.5 hUranus / RosalindSpyRot. B3.22%31.1 expected runs · 71 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.7 hNeptune / NereidSpyRot. B3.22%31.1 expected runs · 71 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.7 hPluto / OceanumSpyRot. B3.22%31.1 expected runs · 71 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.7 hEris / CyathSpyRot. B3.22%31.1 expected runs · 71 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.7 hEris / GnathosSpyRot. B3.22%31.1 expected runs · 71 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.7 hSedna / TikolosheSpyRot. B3.22%31.1 expected runs · 71 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.7 hSedna / KelpieSpyRot. B3.22%31.1 expected runs · 71 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.7 hKuva Fortress / PagoSpyRot. C3.22%31.1 expected runs · 71 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.7 hCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 6.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. C3.75%26.7 expected runs · 61 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.1 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.8 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.6 hVoid / AniSurvivalRot. B2.05%48.8 expected runs · 112 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.3 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. C2.34%42.7 expected runs · 98 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.4 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. C1.88%53.2 expected runs · 122 runs for 90% · ≈ 14.2 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. C1.88%53.2 expected runs · 122 runs for 90% · ≈ 14.2 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. C1.00%100.0 expected runs · 230 runs for 90% · ≈ 26.8 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90% · ≈ 40.0 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. C0.50%200.0 expected runs · 460 runs for 90% · ≈ 53.7 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. C0.50%200.0 expected runs · 460 runs for 90% · ≈ 53.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A0.42%238.1 expected runs · 548 runs for 90% · ≈ 63.9 hSaturn / CaracolDefectionRot. C10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90%Neptune / YursaDefectionRot. B10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90%Pluto / Peregrine AxisSkirmishRot. B10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90%Höllvania / Legacyte HarvestLegacyte HarvestRot. B9.56%10.5 expected runs · 23 runs for 90%Eris / OestrusInfested SalvageRot. A7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90%Deimos / CambireAlchemyRot. B7.50%13.3 expected runs · 30 runs for 90%Pluto / Fenton's FieldSkirmishRot. C6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90%Pluto / Obol CrossingSkirmishRot. C4.88%20.5 expected runs · 47 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Flexa (Caches)CachesRot. A4.80%20.8 expected runs · 47 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / H-2 Cloud (Caches)CachesRot. A4.80%20.8 expected runs · 47 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / R-9 Cloud (Caches)CachesRot. A4.80%20.8 expected runs · 47 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Nsu Grid (Caches)CachesRot. A4.80%20.8 expected runs · 47 runs for 90%Pluto / Khufu EnvoySkirmishRot. B4.55%22.0 expected runs · 50 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Calabash (Caches)CachesRot. A4.35%23.0 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Numina (Caches)CachesRot. A4.35%23.0 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Arc Silver (Caches)CachesRot. A4.35%23.0 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Erato (Caches)CachesRot. A4.35%23.0 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Lu-Yan (Caches)CachesRot. A4.35%23.0 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Sabmir Cloud (Caches)CachesRot. A4.35%23.0 expected runs · 52 runs for 90%Zariman / Oro WorksVoid ArmageddonRot. B3.33%30.0 expected runs · 68 runs for 90%Pluto / Seven SirensSkirmish2.41%41.5 expected runs · 95 runs for 90%Pluto / Profit MarginSkirmish2.41%41.5 expected runs · 95 runs for 90%Phobos / OpikRushRot. C2.01%49.8 expected runs · 114 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / FlexaSkirmish2.00%50.0 expected runs · 114 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / H-2 CloudSkirmish2.00%50.0 expected runs · 114 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / R-9 CloudSkirmish2.00%50.0 expected runs · 114 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Nsu GridSkirmish2.00%50.0 expected runs · 114 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.