Confidence
Direct sources
Deimos / HyfDefenseRot. B22.56%4.4 expected runs · 10 runs for 90% · ≈ 46 minDeimos / TerroremSurvivalRot. B12.50%8.0 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEris / Candiru (Caches)CachesRot. C4.51%22.2 expected runs · 50 runs for 90%Eris / Lepis (Caches)CachesRot. C4.51%22.2 expected runs · 50 runs for 90%Eris / Psoro (Caches)CachesRot. C4.51%22.2 expected runs · 50 runs for 90%Eris / Viver (Caches)CachesRot. C4.51%22.2 expected runs · 50 runs for 90%Eris / Naeglar (Caches)CachesRot. C4.51%22.2 expected runs · 50 runs for 90%Deimos / Formido (Caches)CachesRot. B2.01%49.8 expected runs · 114 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.