Confidence
Direct sources
Mercury / SuiseiSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hVenus / VesperSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hVenus / UndaSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEarth / CambriaSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hMars / ArvalSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hCeres / HapkeSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPhobos / GrildrigSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPhobos / ShklovskySpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hMercury / LaresDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hVenus / TesseraDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hEarth / LithDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hMars / SpearDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / VarroDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / CastaDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / EgeriaDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / DrunloDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / GulliverDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hJupiter / IoDefenseRot. C4.51%22.2 expected runs · 50 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSaturn / HeleneDefenseRot. C4.51%22.2 expected runs · 50 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.1 hSedna / CamenaeDefenseRot. C4.51%22.2 expected runs · 50 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.8 hEuropa / PaimonDefenseRot. C4.51%22.2 expected runs · 50 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.8 hUranus / MirandaDefenseRot. C2.26%44.2 expected runs · 101 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.7 hUranus / BiancaDefenseRot. C2.26%44.2 expected runs · 101 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.7 hUranus / StephanoDefenseRot. C2.26%44.2 expected runs · 101 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.7 hNeptune / ProteusDefenseRot. C2.26%44.2 expected runs · 101 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.7 hPluto / Outer TerminusDefenseRot. C2.26%44.2 expected runs · 101 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.7 hEris / Kala-AzarDefenseRot. C2.26%44.2 expected runs · 101 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.7 hEris / IxodesDefenseRot. C2.26%44.2 expected runs · 101 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.7 hLua / StöFlerDefenseRot. C2.26%44.2 expected runs · 101 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.7 hKuva Fortress / NabukDefenseRot. C2.26%44.2 expected runs · 101 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.7 hSedna / HydronDefenseRot. C2.26%44.2 expected runs · 101 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.4 hCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.7 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.8 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 10.8 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hEris / OestrusInfested SalvageRot. C14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 4Normal1.49%67.1 expected runs · 154 runs for 90%Phobos / OpikRushRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 6Normal1.03%97.1 expected runs · 223 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.