Confidence
Direct sources
Void / UkkoCapture6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 42 minJupiter / IoDefenseRot. A12.50%8.0 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 60 minEuropa / LillithExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEuropa / ValeforExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minMercury / OdinInterceptionRot. C12.18%8.2 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 66 minVenus / CythereanInterceptionRot. C12.18%8.2 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 66 minEarth / GaiaInterceptionRot. C12.18%8.2 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 66 minMars / AlatorInterceptionRot. C12.18%8.2 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 66 minCeres / CinxiaInterceptionRot. C12.18%8.2 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 66 minSaturn / HeleneDefenseRot. A12.50%8.0 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 68 minDeimos / ArmatusDisruptionRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 71 minSedna / CamenaeDefenseRot. A12.50%8.0 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 83 minEuropa / PaimonDefenseRot. A12.50%8.0 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 83 minHöllvania / Assassinate: H-09 TankAssassination6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 85 minVoid / OxomocoExterminate6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hJupiter / CallistoInterceptionRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hSaturn / RheaInterceptionRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hUranus / UmbrielInterceptionRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEuropa / OseInterceptionRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hUranus / RosalindSpyRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hNeptune / NereidSpyRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hPluto / OceanumSpyRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEris / CyathSpyRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEris / GnathosSpyRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hSedna / TikolosheSpyRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hSedna / KelpieSpyRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hKuva Fortress / PagoSpyRot. C9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hHöllvania / Solstice SquareDefenseRot. A9.71%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hDeimos / HyfDefenseRot. C9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVoid / StribogSabotage6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVoid / AniSurvivalRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. C7.74%12.9 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. C7.74%12.9 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. C7.74%12.9 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. C7.74%12.9 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. C7.74%12.9 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hHöllvania / Exterminate: ScaldraExterminate4.76%21.0 expected runs · 48 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hHöllvania / Exterminate: TechrotExterminate4.76%21.0 expected runs · 48 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hHöllvania / Antivirus BountyExterminate4.76%21.0 expected runs · 48 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hMercury / LaresDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hMercury / LaresDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hVenus / TesseraDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hVenus / TesseraDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hEarth / LithDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hEarth / LithDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hMars / SpearDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hMars / SpearDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / VarroDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / VarroDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / CastaDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / CastaDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / EgeriaDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / EgeriaDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / DrunloDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / DrunloDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / GulliverDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / GulliverDefenseRot. C7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 hHöllvania / Hell-Scrub: ScaldraSurvivalRot. A7.47%13.4 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hHöllvania / Hell-Scrub: TechrotSurvivalRot. A7.47%13.4 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hMercury / OdinInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hVenus / CythereanInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEarth / GaiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hMars / AlatorInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hCeres / CinxiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hSanctuary / Sanctuary OnslaughtSanctuary OnslaughtRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSanctuary / Elite Sanctuary OnslaughtSanctuary OnslaughtRot. A7.04%14.2 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hVoid / BelenusDefenseRot. A6.49%15.4 expected runs · 35 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hVoid / TaranisDefenseRot. C6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hMars / WahibaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hJupiter / ElaraSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hJupiter / CameriaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSaturn / TitanSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSaturn / PiscinasSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hCeres / DracoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEuropa / ZaganSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hPhobos / ZeugmaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hVoid / TiwazMobile Defense6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.0 hVoid / AniSurvivalRot. C6.09%16.4 expected runs · 37 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.1 hDeimos / EffervoAssassination3.03%33.0 expected runs · 75 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.1 hDeimos / NexExterminate3.03%33.0 expected runs · 75 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.1 hDeimos / MunioDefenseRot. A4.76%21.0 expected runs · 48 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.7 hZariman / Halako PerimeterExterminate2.44%41.0 expected runs · 94 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.9 hZariman / Tuvul CommonsVoid CascadeRot. A3.03%33.0 expected runs · 75 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.0 hZariman / Everview ArcVoid FloodRot. A3.03%33.0 expected runs · 75 runs for 90% · ≈ 5.0 hDeimos / PerstoSurvivalRot. A3.23%31.0 expected runs · 71 runs for 90% · ≈ 5.9 hZariman / The GreenwayMobile Defense2.44%41.0 expected runs · 94 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.8 hCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.7 hVoid / TaranisDefenseRot. B1.88%53.2 expected runs · 122 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.3 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.8 hVoid / AniSurvivalRot. A1.88%53.2 expected runs · 122 runs for 90% · ≈ 10.2 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 10.8 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hHöllvania / Legacyte HarvestLegacyte HarvestRot. A10.17%9.8 expected runs · 22 runs for 90%Saturn / CaracolDefectionRot. B9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90%Neptune / Brom ClusterSkirmishRot. B9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90%Phobos / OpikRushRot. C7.59%13.2 expected runs · 30 runs for 90%Uranus / BrutusAscension7.41%13.5 expected runs · 30 runs for 90%Neptune / Arva VectorSkirmishRot. A6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90%Neptune / Enkidu Ice DriftsSkirmishRot. A6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90%Deimos / CambireAlchemyRot. A4.76%21.0 expected runs · 48 runs for 90%Saturn / PandoraPursuit4.74%21.1 expected runs · 48 runs for 90%Neptune / Mammon's ProspectSkirmishRot. A4.55%22.0 expected runs · 50 runs for 90%Neptune / Arva Vector (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Neptune / Nu-Gua Mines (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Neptune / Enkidu Ice Drifts (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Neptune / Mammon's Prospect (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Neptune / Sovereign Grasp (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Neptune / Brom Cluster (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Pluto / Khufu Envoy (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Pluto / Seven Sirens (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Pluto / Obol Crossing (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Pluto / Fenton's Field (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Pluto / Profit Margin (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Pluto / Peregrine Axis (Caches)CachesRot. A4.17%24.0 expected runs · 55 runs for 90%Dark Refractory, Deimos / Recall: HunhullusThe Perita RebellionRot. A3.65%27.4 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Dark Refractory, Deimos / Recall: DactolystThe Perita RebellionRot. A3.65%27.4 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Dark Refractory, Deimos / Recall: VanguardThe Perita RebellionRot. A3.65%27.4 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Dark Refractory, Deimos / The GuiltyThe Perita RebellionRot. A3.65%27.4 expected runs · 62 runs for 90%Zariman / Oro WorksVoid ArmageddonRot. A3.03%33.0 expected runs · 75 runs for 90%Neptune / Nu-Gua MinesSkirmish2.35%42.6 expected runs · 97 runs for 90%Neptune / Sovereign GraspSkirmish2.35%42.6 expected runs · 97 runs for 90%Saturn / Mordo ClusterSkirmish1.75%57.1 expected runs · 131 runs for 90%Saturn / Kasio's RestSkirmish1.75%57.1 expected runs · 131 runs for 90%Saturn / Nodo GapSkirmish1.75%57.1 expected runs · 131 runs for 90%Saturn / Lupal PassSkirmish1.75%57.1 expected runs · 131 runs for 90%Saturn / Vand ClusterSkirmish1.75%57.1 expected runs · 131 runs for 90%Phobos / OpikRushRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.