Confidence
Direct sources
Venus / Bifrost Echo (Caches)CachesRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90%Venus / Beacon Shield Ring (Caches)CachesRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90%Venus / Orvin-Haarc (Caches)CachesRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90%Venus / Vesper Strait (Caches)CachesRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90%Venus / Luckless Expanse (Caches)CachesRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90%Venus / Falling Glory (Caches)CachesRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90%Neptune / Arva Vector (Caches)CachesRot. B9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90%Neptune / Nu-Gua Mines (Caches)CachesRot. B9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90%Neptune / Enkidu Ice Drifts (Caches)CachesRot. B9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90%Neptune / Mammon's Prospect (Caches)CachesRot. B9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90%Neptune / Sovereign Grasp (Caches)CachesRot. B9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90%Neptune / Brom Cluster (Caches)CachesRot. B9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90%Saturn / Mordo Cluster (Caches)Caches6.00%16.7 expected runs · 38 runs for 90%Saturn / Kasio's Rest (Caches)Caches6.00%16.7 expected runs · 38 runs for 90%Saturn / Nodo Gap (Caches)Caches6.00%16.7 expected runs · 38 runs for 90%Saturn / Lupal Pass (Caches)Caches6.00%16.7 expected runs · 38 runs for 90%Saturn / Vand Cluster (Caches)Caches6.00%16.7 expected runs · 38 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.