Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C30.56%3.3 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 49 minVenus / KilikenExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minEarth / EverestExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minEarth / TikalExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minMars / AugustusExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minPhobos / WendellExcavationRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minMercury / ApollodorusSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hVenus / V PrimeSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hVenus / MalvaSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hMars / ArcadiaSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hCeres / GabiiSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hPhobos / StickneySurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hPhobos / FlimnapSurvivalRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C7.52%13.3 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.6 hCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 6.9 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.8 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.6 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hDuviri / The CircuitThe CircuitRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 4Normal1.49%67.1 expected runs · 154 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 6Normal1.03%97.1 expected runs · 223 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.