Confidence
Direct sources
Neptune / DespinaExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minPluto / HieraconExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEuropa / CholistanExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minUranus / RosalindSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hNeptune / NereidSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPluto / OceanumSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / CyathSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / GnathosSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSedna / TikolosheSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSedna / KelpieSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hJupiter / CallistoInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hSaturn / RheaInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hUranus / UmbrielInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hEuropa / OseInterceptionRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hLua / PavlovSpyRot. B7.49%13.4 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hJupiter / IoDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hMercury / LaresDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hVenus / TesseraDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hEarth / LithDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hMars / SpearDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / VarroDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / CastaDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hCeres / EgeriaDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / DrunloDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hPhobos / GulliverDefenseRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hSaturn / HeleneDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 hUranus / MirandaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / BiancaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / StephanoDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hNeptune / ProteusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hPluto / Outer TerminusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / Kala-AzarDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / IxodesDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hLua / StöFlerDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hKuva Fortress / NabukDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSedna / CamenaeDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEuropa / PaimonDefenseRot. B6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / OpheliaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / CupidSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / AssurSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hNeptune / KelashinSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hPluto / PalusSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEris / HymenoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEris / NimusSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / SelkieSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / HydronDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / ScyllaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / YemajaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / AmarnaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hLua / TychoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hKuva Fortress / TaveuniSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEris / OestrusInfested SalvageRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 4Normal1.49%67.1 expected runs · 154 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 6Normal1.03%97.1 expected runs · 223 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.