WarframeAlchemyLab ES
Hellfire

Farming plan

Hellfire

Arsenal: Hellfire
Confidence

Direct sources

Ceres / SeimeniDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. C6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hDuviri / Endless: Tier 1Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 3Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%

We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.

Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.

Dropped by
Ambulas Rare 4.42 %
Juno Disc Moa Uncommon 0.33 %
Narmer Disc Moa Uncommon 0.33 %
Thermic Raknoid Rare 0.28 %
Juno Geminex Moa Rare 0.22 %
Kuva Roller Rare 0.22 %
Latcher Rare 0.22 %
Narmer Geminex Moa Rare 0.22 %
Roller Sentry Rare 0.22 %
Roller Rare 0.22 %
Tusk Roller Rare 0.22 %
Orb Vallis - Spaceport Enemies Rare 0.14 %
Chance of getting it by number of runs
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 9 18 27 36 45 10 runs · 50% 10 runs · 50% 33 runs · 90% 33 runs · 90%

Each run has a 6.9% chance. The curve is 1−(1−p)ⁿ: there is never a guarantee, only growing confidence.