Confidence
Direct sources
Mercury / SuiseiSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hVenus / VesperSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hVenus / UndaSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEarth / CambriaSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hMars / ArvalSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hCeres / HapkeSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPhobos / GrildrigSpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPhobos / ShklovskySpyRot. C8.60%11.6 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hDuviri / Endless: Tier 1Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 3Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.