Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. C25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A10.08%9.9 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B10.08%9.9 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. C10.08%9.9 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. A9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. C9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.