Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A30.56%3.3 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 49 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B30.56%3.3 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 49 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C30.56%3.3 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 49 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A7.52%13.3 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B7.52%13.3 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C7.52%13.3 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. A7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. C7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.6 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.