Confidence
Direct sources
Lua / PavlovSpyRot. B7.49%13.4 expected runs · 30 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. B12.50%8.0 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. B6.85%14.6 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 30-40BountyRot. B5.38%18.6 expected runs · 42 runs for 90% · ≈ 4.9 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.