Confidence
Direct sources
Neptune / DespinaExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minPluto / HieraconExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEuropa / CholistanExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minUranus / OpheliaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / CupidSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hUranus / AssurSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hNeptune / KelashinSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hPluto / PalusSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEris / HymenoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEris / NimusSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / SelkieSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / ScyllaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / YemajaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSedna / AmarnaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hLua / TychoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hKuva Fortress / TaveuniSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.