Confidence
Direct sources
Mercury / ElionCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minVenus / VeneraCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEarth / MantleCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minMars / AraCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minMars / QuirinusCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minJupiter / AnankeCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minSaturn / PhoebeCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minSaturn / CassiniCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minUranus / ArielCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minUranus / TrinculoCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minNeptune / GalateaCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPluto / HydraCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPluto / CorbCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minCeres / LexCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEris / CosisCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEris / IsosCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / AbaddonCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / BelethCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPhobos / LimtocCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPhobos / SkyreshCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPhobos / ToddCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minLua / CopernicusCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minLua / PavlovSpyRot. A12.18%8.2 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 72 minJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. A9.09%11.0 expected runs · 25 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. A7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. A7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. A7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.2 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. A7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. A7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. A7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. A7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. A7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. A7.37%13.6 expected runs · 31 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.4 hCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.7 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.8 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 10.8 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90% · ≈ 11.9 hPhobos / OpikRushRot. A2.21%45.2 expected runs · 104 runs for 90%Phobos / OpikRushRot. B1.47%68.0 expected runs · 156 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.