Confidence
Direct sources
Mercury / ElionCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minVenus / VeneraCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEarth / MantleCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minMars / AraCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minMars / QuirinusCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minJupiter / AnankeCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minSaturn / PhoebeCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minSaturn / CassiniCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minUranus / ArielCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minUranus / TrinculoCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minNeptune / GalateaCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPluto / HydraCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPluto / CorbCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minCeres / LexCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEris / CosisCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEris / IsosCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / AbaddonCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / Cryotic FrontCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / BelethCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPhobos / LimtocCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPhobos / SkyreshCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minPhobos / ToddCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minLua / CopernicusCapture10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 32 minEuropa / LillithExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minEuropa / ValeforExcavationRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minCeres / SeimeniDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 hMercury / OdinInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hVenus / CythereanInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEarth / GaiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hMars / AlatorInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hCeres / CinxiaInterceptionRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. A6.90%14.5 expected runs · 33 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.5 hJupiter / AmaltheaSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / DioneSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hSaturn / AegaeonSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hCeres / BodeSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEuropa / ValacSpyRot. B5.56%18.0 expected runs · 41 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hMars / WahibaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hJupiter / ElaraSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hJupiter / CameriaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSaturn / TitanSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSaturn / PiscinasSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hCeres / DracoSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEuropa / ZaganSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hPhobos / ZeugmaSurvivalRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hPhobos / OpikRushRot. A15.18%6.6 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Phobos / OpikRushRot. A15.18%6.6 expected runs · 14 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 1Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 3Normal0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.