Confidence
Direct sources
Deimos / PerstoSurvivalRot. C30.00%3.3 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 35 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. B7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. C7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A4.73%21.1 expected runs · 48 runs for 90% · ≈ 5.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B4.73%21.1 expected runs · 48 runs for 90% · ≈ 5.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C4.73%21.1 expected runs · 48 runs for 90% · ≈ 5.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A4.73%21.1 expected runs · 48 runs for 90% · ≈ 5.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. B4.73%21.1 expected runs · 48 runs for 90% · ≈ 5.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. C4.73%21.1 expected runs · 48 runs for 90% · ≈ 5.6 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.