Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B25.00%4.0 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B20.00%5.0 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B15.97%6.3 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B15.49%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B15.32%6.5 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B15.18%6.6 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B15.00%6.7 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B15.00%6.7 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 5-15BountyRot. B14.50%6.9 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hVenus / Orb Vallis · Nivel 10-30BountyRot. B13.24%7.6 expected runs · 17 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.0 hSaturn / Cephalon CaptureConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Cephalon Capture (Extra)ConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Team AnnihilationConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Team Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / AnnihilationConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Lunaro ArenaConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Lunaro Arena (Extra)ConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Cephalon CaptureConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Cephalon Capture (Extra)ConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Team Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant AnnihilationConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Annihilation (Extra)ConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Neptune / Cephalon CaptureConclaveRot. B12.65%7.9 expected runs · 18 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Team AnnihilationConclaveRot. A3.16%31.6 expected runs · 72 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Team AnnihilationConclaveRot. B3.16%31.6 expected runs · 72 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.