Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 20-40BountyRot. A29.31%3.4 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 49 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. A24.32%4.1 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. B24.32%4.1 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. C22.22%4.5 expected runs · 10 runs for 90% · ≈ 70 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. B20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. C20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 20-40BountyRot. A19.21%5.2 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 20-40BountyRot. A18.78%5.3 expected runs · 12 runs for 90% · ≈ 84 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A17.39%5.8 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B17.39%5.8 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C17.39%5.8 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A17.39%5.8 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.