Confidence
Direct sources
Earth / Cetus · Nivel 20-40BountyRot. A29.31%3.4 expected runs · 7 runs for 90% · ≈ 49 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. A24.32%4.1 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. B24.32%4.1 expected runs · 9 runs for 90% · ≈ 63 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. C22.22%4.5 expected runs · 10 runs for 90% · ≈ 70 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. B20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. C20.41%4.9 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 20-40BountyRot. A19.21%5.2 expected runs · 11 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 20-40BountyRot. A18.78%5.3 expected runs · 12 runs for 90% · ≈ 84 minEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A17.39%5.8 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B17.39%5.8 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C17.39%5.8 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A17.39%5.8 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. B17.39%5.8 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. C17.39%5.8 expected runs · 13 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A16.11%6.2 expected runs · 14 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A14.04%7.1 expected runs · 16 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. A13.51%7.4 expected runs · 16 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. B13.51%7.4 expected runs · 16 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-60BountyRot. C13.51%7.4 expected runs · 16 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. A13.51%7.4 expected runs · 16 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. B13.51%7.4 expected runs · 16 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 100-100BountyRot. C13.51%7.4 expected runs · 16 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A10.13%9.9 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. A10.11%9.9 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. B10.11%9.9 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. A9.89%10.1 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. B9.89%10.1 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A9.71%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. A9.71%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A9.43%10.6 expected runs · 24 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. A9.43%10.6 expected runs · 24 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. C8.70%11.5 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.0 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 30-50BountyRot. C8.51%11.8 expected runs · 26 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.0 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.7 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 40-50BountyRot. A7.14%14.0 expected runs · 32 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.7 hSaturn / Variant Team AnnihilationConclaveRot. A0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%Saturn / Variant Team AnnihilationConclaveRot. B0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.