Where to farm Cernos Prime Lower Limb? Best path and expected runs

Relic opening

Refinement

Confidence

Via relics

Lith C734.39% · 2.9 expected opens · 6 runs for 90%

Best relic source: Venus / Bifrost Echo (Caches) (Caches · Rot. B · 9.7%) — no known timing

Axi C1Vaulted34.39% · 2.9 expected opens · 6 runs for 90%

Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.

Axi C2Vaulted34.39% · 2.9 expected opens · 6 runs for 90%

Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.

Lith C2Vaulted34.39% · 2.9 expected opens · 6 runs for 90%

Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.

Lith C5Vaulted34.39% · 2.9 expected opens · 6 runs for 90%

Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.

Meso C3Vaulted34.39% · 2.9 expected opens · 6 runs for 90%

Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.

We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.

Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.